Bangladesh Cricket

Pakistan vs Australia 3rd ODI Match, Dream 11 Prediction, Fantasy Cricket: Series Decider Preview

Cole Kapoor · · 7 min read

The three-match One Day International (ODI) series between Pakistan and Australia has delivered on its promise of captivating cricket, culminating in a thrilling series decider. After a dominant performance by Pakistan in the opening game, Australia staged a remarkable comeback in the second ODI, leveling the series at 1-1. All eyes are now on Gaddafi Stadium in Lahore, where the third and final match will determine which team lifts the coveted trophy.

Pakistan, having started the series with a strong declaration of intent, couldn’t maintain that momentum in the subsequent encounter. While individual brilliance from Shadab Khan with the bat and Shaheen Afridi leading a disciplined bowling attack was evident, the team’s overall cohesion seemed to falter. The hosts will be fiercely determined to rectify these shortcomings, harness their home crowd’s energy, and clinch the series on their turf.

Australia, conversely, demonstrated exceptional resilience and tactical prowess in the second ODI. Key contributions from Josh Inglis, Cameron Green, Nathan Ellis, and Matthew Short underscored a positive team attitude and a collective desire to fight back. The visitors will be eager to carry this rediscovered momentum into the decisive game, aiming for an unforgettable series triumph before their departure.

Match Preview

Pakistan’s Challenge and Strengths

Pakistan enters this pivotal match fully aware that a golden opportunity slipped through their grasp in the second ODI. Despite their bowlers once again showcasing their formidable skills by restricting Australia to a modest 231/9, the batting lineup struggled profoundly. A lack of substantial partnerships led to their dismissal for a mere 190 runs, highlighting a significant area for improvement.

In the previous game, the batting unit faced immense pressure. While Shadab Khan bravely fought for his 71 runs off 104 balls, and Ghazi Ghori contributed 37, alongside Arafat Minhas’s 33, the top order failed to lay a solid foundation. Critical players such as Babar Azam, Sahibzada Farhan, and Salman Ali Agha must assume greater responsibility and convert their starts into impactful scores in this high-stakes fixture. The hosts possess abundant talent within their middle order, but converting potential into consistent performance will be key to challenging Australia effectively.

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Pakistan’s bowling attack remains their undeniable strongest asset. Shaheen Afridi spearheads the charge, having claimed three crucial wickets in the second ODI. He received excellent support from Arafat Minhas and Abrar Ahmed, who each secured two wickets. Haris Rauf also delivered a solid performance, adding two wickets to his name, underscoring the depth and potency of Pakistan’s bowling unit.

Australia’s Resilient Comeback

Australia’s impressive comeback in the second ODI not only leveled the series but also injected a significant boost of confidence into their squad. The Australian batsmen displayed a much-needed composure, while their bowlers masterfully stifled Pakistan’s chase, placing the hosts in a do-or-die situation for the final match.

With the bat, Josh Inglis anchored the innings with a solid 51 runs, and Cameron Green contributed a crucial 53. Matt Renshaw chipped in with 43, and Oliver Peake added 31, collectively helping Australia post a respectable total of 231/9. While Australia didn’t completely dominate the innings, these vital contributions from several batsmen proved decisive on what proved to be a challenging pitch.

Australia’s bowling performance in Lahore was nothing short of exceptional. Nathan Ellis was the undisputed standout, delivering a match-winning spell of 4 wickets for just 33 runs, deservedly earning him the Player of the Match title. Matthew Short caught Pakistan off guard with his three wickets, while Adam Zampa and Tanveer Sangha skillfully managed the middle overs, maintaining relentless pressure on the Pakistani batsmen.

Pitch Report

The pitch at Gaddafi Stadium is known for its tricky nature for batsmen. It tends to be on the slower side, with the ball not bouncing as consistently as batters might prefer. Therefore, batsmen will need to exercise immense patience, avoid impulsive shots, and focus on expertly finding gaps in the field rather than attempting expansive strokes. Conversely, bowlers, particularly spinners and those who can vary their pace, should find the conditions quite favorable, allowing them to extract assistance from the surface.

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Toss Prediction

Historical data from the nine head-to-head matches played at Gaddafi Stadium reveals a clear pattern: teams batting first have emerged victorious five times. This suggests that chasing targets can be particularly challenging on this ground, a fact reinforced by the events of the last match. Consequently, the team that wins the toss will most likely elect to bat first, aiming to post a competitive total and then utilize the conditions to defend it.

Weather Report

The weather forecast for Lahore during the match indicates typical hot and dry conditions. Temperatures are expected to hover around 34–35°C, with virtually no chance of rain. These conditions are ideal for a smooth and uninterrupted ODI match, ensuring that the focus remains entirely on the on-field action.

Head to Head

In the last five One Day Internationals between these two cricketing giants, Pakistan holds a slight advantage with three wins to Australia’s two. Pakistan has demonstrated an ability to dominate in bursts, securing convincing victories after successful comebacks in previous encounters. However, Australia has shown their fighting spirit by bouncing back twice, making this head-to-head record a testament to the competitive nature of their rivalry.

Venue Details

While Gaddafi Stadium generally offers decent batting conditions, the current series has seen bowlers gain more assistance than usual. Fast bowlers can exploit early movement with the new ball, making initial overs crucial. Spinners tend to thrive during the middle overs, dictating the flow of the game with their variations. Teams that manage to score above 270 runs are likely to establish a strong advantage, making the target setting a critical component of the match.

Match Prediction

The series decider is unequivocally shaping up to be a nail-biting contest. Pakistan, benefiting from home conditions and the formidable threat of their spin attack, holds a slight edge. While Australia undeniably gained significant momentum with their triumph in the second ODI, Pakistan has consistently showcased a more stable and potent bowling performance throughout the series. Australia’s success will largely depend on key players like Nathan Ellis, Josh Inglis, and Cameron Green maintaining their recent exceptional form. However, Pakistan’s depth in bowling and their intimate familiarity with the Lahore pitch make them the marginal favorites heading into this crucial final ODI. Pakistan is predicted to win the series (2-1).

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Betting Tips

Considering the high stakes and the evenly matched nature of the teams, strategic betting can add another layer of excitement. While the overall series prediction favors Pakistan, betting markets consider specific match dynamics. A key betting tip for this match is to consider betting on one wicket in the first power play for either team, given that early action characterized both previous ODIs. Ultimately, the prediction leans towards Pakistan to win the match and the series.

Probable Playing XI

Pakistan Playing XI

  • Sahibzada Farhan
  • Maaz Sadaqat
  • Babar Azam
  • Ghazi Ghori (wk)
  • Arafat Minhas
  • Salman Agha
  • Abdul Samad
  • Shadab Khan
  • Shaheen Afridi (c)
  • Haris Rauf
  • Abrar Ahmed

Australia Playing XI

  • Alex Carey
  • Matthew Short
  • Josh Inglis (c) (wk)
  • Marnus Labuschagne
  • Cameron Green
  • Matt Renshaw
  • Oliver Peake
  • Nathan Ellis
  • Tanveer Sangha
  • Matthew Kuhnemann
  • Adam Zampa

Top Fantasy Picks Dream11 Prediction

Pakistan Key Players

Babar Azam: The star batsman experienced an early dismissal in the second ODI after heroically securing victory in the first game with a match-winning half-century. Following Pakistan’s batting struggles in the previous encounter, the onus is now on Babar Azam to anchor the team’s innings, provide stability, and lead Pakistan to a decisive series victory in the third game. His leadership and batting prowess will be indispensable.

Australia Key Players

Matt Renshaw: Renshaw emerges as a crucial player for Australia in this encounter. He has impressively scored 104 runs in two games at an outstanding average of 52, consistently demonstrating composure and skill at the crease. Renshaw’s ability to remain calm under pressure and build his innings steadily makes him a vital asset for Australia’s batting lineup.

Nathan Ellis: As a key bowling threat for Australia, Nathan Ellis is in exceptional form. The right-arm pacer has claimed seven wickets with an outstanding average of 8.43 across the series. His capacity to bowl consistently with pace, precision, and discipline has posed significant challenges for batsmen throughout the series, making him a potent wicket-taking option.

Cole Kapoor
Cole Kapoor

Cole Kapoor is a cricket analyst focused on match predictions, team strategies, and betting insights. He evaluates team form, pitch conditions, and player performance across T20 leagues.